The National Day holiday brought us not only the parade of the military parade, but also the popularity of the National Day holiday. Statistics from the National Tourism Administration show that the National Day 8-Day Holiday received a total of 228 million visitors...
The National Day holiday brought us not only the parade of the military parade, but also the popularity of the National Day holiday. According to the statistics of the National Tourism Administration, the National Day 8-day holiday received a total of 228 million tourists, which was 28.5% higher than the â€œ11thâ€ Golden Week in 2008, and achieved a tourism income of 100.7 billion yuan, an increase of 26.4%. The latest announcement by the Ministry of Commerce of China The figures show that the national retail sales of this 8-day period is about 570 billion yuan, and the 8-day long holiday is generally about 34.86% higher than the 7-day holiday last year. When we see an astonishingly high growth official data of 28.5%, 26.4%, and 34.86%, after a financial crisis of more than a year, it will inevitably lead to a change of human feelings. I feel that the economic crisis has gone forever in China, and a good era of economic prosperity will come.
For the wise, the more this kind of prosperity is too sudden, the more we need to look at it calmly. For these data, we need to analyze it comprehensively and objectively so as not to make the cognition too biased, so as not to affect our understanding of economic development trends and not make wrong decisions. To this end, I have carefully reviewed the official information and data. In fact, behind these extremely prosperous data, it is worthwhile to scrutinize.
Because this year's National Day is 8 days, one day more than the same period last year. If you compare the base of one day, you will naturally have the amazing data above. However, when this day was removed, according to the comparable caliber, the increase in tourist numbers only increased by 12.4% year-on-year, and tourism revenue only increased by 10.6%. This data is not so bright, we must know that in the first half of the financial crisis, China's tourism revenue also maintained a growth rate of 10.6%. Moreover, from the growth rate of tourist population is higher than the growth rate of tourism income, it shows that the per capita consumption of tourists is a year-on-year growth rate, which also shows the impact of the financial crisis on the income of residents, thus restricting the expenditure of per capita tourism consumption.
Judging from the structure of the travel time of tourists, the growth rate of non-overnight trips is also much higher than that of overnight trips. During the National Day, overnight visitors (only in hotels, hotels and guest houses) were 52.77 million person-times. Compared with the â€œ11thâ€ Golden Week in 2008, they only increased by 8.2% according to comparable caliber; while tourists for one-day tourists were 1.76. Millions of people, according to comparable caliber, did increase by 13.7% year-on-year. The gap in this growth rate also proves that the tourism industry has risen and fallen. Because everyone understands that the spending expenses of overnight visitors is much higher than the travel expenses of day trips.
As for the 8 days of National Day announced by the Ministry of Commerce, the total retail sales of consumer goods in the whole society reached 570 billion, but the average daily retail sales increased by only about 18% from the previous Golden Week. We must know that the growth rate of our total retail sales of consumer goods in January-July has remained at 15%. If the consumption and travel data during the Mid-Autumn Festival last year were added to the consumption and tourism income data of last year's National Day holiday, I estimate that this year's year-on-year growth rate will also decrease.
The National Day also has a special background, that is, due to the cancellation of the May Day holiday, many working-class people in the country have been forced to squeeze out the plan for the National Day. The paid vacation system introduced by the state is, in practice, still a month of water, and has a very limited effect on the National Day diversion. Therefore, the popularity of the National Day is actually a short-term concentrated release of long-term suppression.
The data is boring, but in-depth analysis is often rational. Reason, sometimes helps us to see the clouds. Perhaps based on the rationality of this data, Xi Jinping said after visiting the country after the prosperous National Day holiday that China's overall economic situation is becoming more stable and improving, but China's economic recovery has not yet established itself.
At the moment of economic crisis, reason is especially important!